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1st paragraph:
Increases in key measures of Atlantic hurricane activity over recent decades are believed to reflect, in large part, contemporaneous increases in tropical Atlantic warmth [e.g., Emanuel, 2005]. Some recent studies [e.g., Goldenberg et al., 2001] have attributed these increases to a natural climate cycle
termed the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation
(AMO), while other studies suggest that climate
change may instead be playing the dominant role [Emanuel, 2005; Webster et al., 2005].